Prof Bill McGuire, University College London, summarises the disturbing evidence on tipping points in the climate system;
“In broad terms, ‘climate tipping points’ (CTPs) mark thresholds beyond which negative feedback effects, which act to maintain stability, are overwhelmed by positive feedbacks, which drive and reinforce self-perpetuating change. The consequences of crossing a tipping point may be obvious within decades or even years, or it may take centuries for the full ramifications to become apparent.
How soon will we reach them?
Many countries are coalescing around the goal of achieving net zero emissions by 2050 [5], not for any solid scientific reason, but because it is a nice round number and far enough away to justify inaction in the near term. The global average temperature rise is predicted to climb permanently above 1.5°C by between 2026 and 2042, with a central estimate of 2032, while business as usual will see the 2°C breached by 2050 or very soon after [6]. This means that by mid-century a number of tipping points may already have tipped [4], ensuring a major transformation of our world from which there is no return. Neither rapid cuts in emissions nor the direct removal of carbon from the atmosphere will turn back the clock.”
The professor’s article is backed by 9 different professional references. Here is a link to the whole article.
The seriousness of starting warfare in this situation and all the tremendous pollution it can cause is such that in our judgement Peace is the first thing to solve, before you can expect results in other fields, like global warming and sustainable lifestyle.
The management
Global Peace and Sustainable Living Foundation