Climate changes underestimated – The point of no return tipping points

The below is copied from Prof Bill McGuire, University College London article from Responsible Science Journal of 7 December 2023. Article to be found here in the newsroom section.

“Tipping points that affect the biosphere include the loss of the Amazon Rainforest and the high-latitude boreal (coniferous) forests. Ocean currents can have tipping points too, and particular attention is focused on the Gulf Stream and associated North Atlantic currents that make up what is known as the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), and its potential future shutdown.

How soon will we reach them?
Many countries are coalescing around the goal of achieving net zero emissions by 2050 [5], not for any solid scientific reason, but because it is a nice round number and far enough away to justify inaction in the near term. The global average temperature rise is predicted to climb permanently above 1.5°C by between 2026 and 2042, with a central estimate of 2032, while business as usual will see the 2°C breached by 2050 or very soon after [6]. This means that by mid-century a number of tipping points may already have tipped [4], ensuring a major transformation of our world from which there is no return. Neither rapid cuts in emissions nor the direct removal of carbon from the atmosphere will turn back the clock.

Tipping points that may have been crossed by mid-century include collapse of the system of rotating currents that make up the so-called Sub-polar Gyre in the northernmost Atlantic. This could be instigated as a consequence of a global average temperature rise of as little as 1.1°C and, once begun, collapse could happen in as short a timeframe as five years. The consequences of this would be severe, including a fall of as much as 3°C in temperatures across the North Atlantic region, elevated levels of extreme weather in Europe and serious knock-on effects across the world [6]. There is also the possibility that the AMOC itself could shut down at any point upwards of a global average temperature rise of 1.4°C. Indeed, a recent study [7] proposes that AMOC collapse could happen at any time from 2025 to 2090, with a central estimate of 2050. This is projected to result in regional cooling of anything from 4°C to 10°C.

The fates of both the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets could also be sealed long before 2050. The estimated threshold temperature for the unstoppable collapse of these great ice masses is 1.5°C, but could be 1°C or even less, suggesting that it could already be too late to prevent wholesale melting and – as mentioned earlier – an ultimate sea-level rise of 10m-12m.
Climate elements having regional rather than global consequences, which could tip at 1.5°C or less, include the abrupt thaw of high-latitude Northern Hemisphere permafrost, the decay of mountain glaciers, and the sudden loss of Barents Sea winter ice.”

Climate change and The Global Peace and Sustainable Living Foundation (GPS)
In the above article, Professor Bill McGuire explains with reference to several other scientists’ articles approximately how much time we have available to us to get the grips of Global warming and its consequences to Earth and the Universe.
In the Peace section of this website we explain, with reference to sources, the lives lost and shocking damage caused by the Gulf War, even though it only lasted for a short period of time. One can imagine, based on that, all the tremendous damage that a long-lasting war can do and at the same time destroy all the good work worldwide, which is being done to minimize global warming.
GPS was formed for combatting world leaders in dispute, guiding them towards peaceful approach and mediating during that process.

There are obstacles on the way though;

1. The constant and growing wars going on in several countries give us reason to believe that some most important tipping points will come sooner than expected.
2. Religion is in some cases misused, which causes disputes to become an obstacle and feelings to be stronger.
   Buddhism has not suffered from this as much, as most specialist are regarding it to be put forward as good advice, for Buddhists to live an honest and truthful life and solve their problems without bloodshed.
   Christians made some noticeable changes to the New Testament long after Jesus’ days, to give more power to the Church. Those new paragraphs were not used much for the direct purpose of killing people until in the Middle-Ages, when people were burned alive, for what the Church considered to be heresy.
3. The Koran (Quran) was written long after Muhmmed’s death, because the Muslims did not yet have their own writing language. Muhammed therefore read the text verbally to his closest disciples. Research has concluded that the writer definitely had very little education and that the language is different from what Muhammed had used when talking to his disciples. Again, this has been used to send young people (usually boys) to their suicide and promising them a seat next to Allah after a successful work finished.

Making slight changes to the written text decades or even centuries after the original author had left was done sometimes because people did not know better and sometimes to gain power over people or nations.
After the second world war, where millions were killed and many nations were left with more financial loss than ever seen before. Most people on both sides commented “never again”. No wonder, as 60 million people lost their lives during that war.
In addition to this huge number of lives lost, tremendous damage had been done to Mother Earth. Production of weapons, transfer of weapons around the World and use of weapons of mass destruction. Each step of the way left damage to Earth and was also a massive contributor to increased Global Warming beyond reparability.

NATO formed by Europeans and Americans
NATO was established in Washington DC in April 1949. The headquarters however were set up in Brussels, Belgium where they still are.
The Secretary-General is the highest representative of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). This position is held now by Mark Rutte, former Prime Minister of the Netherlands.
The second world war ended in the year 1945. Massive loss of lives and tremendous valuable assets totally destroyed in this war was what triggered the idea of establishing NATO and always be ready with enough military power to defend the US and the countries of Western-Europe. This was considered necessary, as a deterrent against decisions of such aggressive measures being taken by any country again.
Unfortunately, dictators have been turning up in several counties in the resent years, who consider it a better deal for them and their gang to revert to the old days and gain more power over valuable assets belonging to the citizens of their country.

The GPS Foundation’s guide to Sustainable Lifestyle and Peace between nations – Open to people of all religions, colors and gender
Siddhartha Gautama, an Indian prince, introduced his way to a healthy and honest life to people who wanted to live by his recommendations. This was the beginning of the Buddha teachings, established around 560 BC. Gautama was since then always named Buddha.
Jesus, son of Mary and Joseph of Bethlehem in Israel. He gathered around him a great number of people who listened to his teachings. Closest to him were his 12 apostles.

Jesus’ teachings were written down by some of his apostles, but it looks like some amendments were made long after his time for the purpose of giving the Church more power and this way being able to have great effect on political decision makers. The Church even had people killed by burning them alive in the Middle Ages.

Scientists who have studied the different religions claim that Muhammed (500-600 AD) had known about Jesus and liked his teachings. They also have discovered that the Muslims had no writing language at the time and therefore the Koran (Quran) was read to Muhammed’s closest men verbally and written down long after his days. Specialists on religions research have also revealed that the quality of putting the Koran down in writing was so bad that it must have been done by someone with very little education and possibly affected by someone who wanted to use it for the wrong purpose.

Through our own studies, we have concluded that whatever the religion and regardless of where people are coming from, most people on Earth are good and honest individuals who want nothing more than being able to spend their days in a friendly community of equal rights where they can rais their children in Peace.
Most of us know that most people have been brought up under generally accepted principles as interpreted today, based on hundreds of years old original information, which may be subject to alterations through the centuries.

Several most important basic items behind a good sustainable life

1. Look at all life on Earth from a positive angle
   1. Wherever people come from, they tend to assume that everybody and everything they have not seen before is dangerous.
   2. Such visible fear positions you as an underdog in your forthcoming discussions.
   3. Be brave and position yourself as “good to see you”, like you have been friends forever
   4. You have now taken the initiative, and you are ready to keep the conversation under control.
2. Do not, under any circumstances, judge others
   1. If you meet somebody new you may have 20% of the information you need to be able to evaluate the quality of the person
   2. If you have met before you may have up to 50% of such information.
   3. Either way, you know by far too little to make a judgement to this affect.
3. If you are visiting another country, remember to respect their law, their culture and their standard courtecy and acceptable humor
   1. You may have limited knowledge of their law. Do not assume, just ask.
   2. Their culture is very important to them. If you need more information, just ask.
   3. Your contact can advise you on courtecy and humor. It just takes a few minutes, but these things are important.
4. Practice Universal Love, including humans regardless of religion, gender and color, including animals, and including the Earth and the Universe
   1. Universal Love is over all embracing, including people wherever they come from, animals, the Earth and the Universe.
   2. The point of no return tipping point may therefore possibly require us to adjust to new food selections.
   3. The AMOC tipping point, as per Prof Bill McGuires article and the water under Greenland and The Antarctica braking out, may therefore come much sooner than we have been anticipating, even towards the end of this year.
   4. We should therefore put those issues at the top of our agenda. Meaning a greatly increased stock of dry food, lumber and warm clothes, protecting people and assets close to the coastline, even moving them further inland.
5. Always try to give a little bit more than you take
   1. Try it. The feeling is wonderful.
   2. People are what counts, money comes and goes.
   3. With your little contribution we can give much more than we take
   4. The UN has been powerless in peace negotiations, because one nation can veto important decisions made.
   5. The Global Peace and Sustainable Living Foundation is a private non-profit entity under the Board of Directors’ control, 3 members to be increased to 5 when it is ready to commence full operation.

A firm of well respected State Authorized Auditors with excellent track record will confirm that the Foundation uses all its financial resources to pay cost related to its main operation as planned.

It is difficult to trust leading countries that practice warring in connection with one particular dispute, at the same time as they offer to lead peace negotiations in another.

The Peace and Sustainable Living Foundation will stay neutral in all their approach.